Hello everyone!
Wish that you liked my first article regarding the match strategy for the first game! The first game proved to be quiet interesting. I actually did believe a couple of days ago that Carlsen will play the Sicilian but that play may transpose to the Rossolimo, the topic of discussion in yesterday's game. However yesterday I had a very strong feeling that Carlsen would use the Caro-Kann to neutralise White's first White and to achieve a comfortable draw. However, was quiet happy to see Magnus fighting it out with the Siccilian! Also important to note is that Caruana is not a player to be intimidated if he is playing against a line not expected while Karjakin and Mr. Anand did get startled with Carlsen's not too expected opening choices and it reflected in the rest of the games.
Carlsen impressed with today's great prep. but seems unhappy with his missed chances. Credit: Chess.com
I thought that it was a great game with Carlsen missing some chances . I look for more such encounters. Caruana however has to step it up as he would consider himself quiet lucky to escape with a draw.
For the game today, I have an interesting suggestion. It would be very interesting for Carlsen to go for 1. c4!? in order to play the Siccilian Reversed today! That would be some fun yet this idea occured only to me today morning itself when I was viewing the Kasparov-Karpov Seville 1987 Match wherein this was a major bone of contention. Caruana can however reply with 1...e6 as he is probably relying on the Vienna for this match I believe. That however can give us a very good clue for what is in store for us in the match! 1...Nf6 can be met by 2.Nc3 yet I do not really think that Carlsen will try this. He however may try this as a one-game opening sometime to check what is the priority in Caruana's repertoire against 1.d4. Caruana has basically played everything against this opening! There is also a possibility he may have revised the Benoni Defense for facing it!
I believe however that Carlsen can then significantly reduce Caruana's preparations for the match which was something that Karjakin repeatedly felt in the World Chess Championship 2016.
Opening results like today are something Fabi would very likely want to avoid while trying to show much of his own reputed preparation. Credits: Chess.com
Another important strategy I thought was for Carlsen to go for 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3- I know you would probably be unhappy for me suggesting Carlsen to go for something Caruana would have prioritised in the repertoire which I often said is something Carlsen normally prevents. However, he could follow the ' Carlsen-Karjakin strategy'- Carlsen played 1.e4 in game 3, game 5, game 7, game 10, game 12, Tiebreaker game 2 and Game 4. Carlsen challenged Karjakin in his main defense- the Berlin and tried to extract small idea( Re2-Re1 in game 2, b4-a4 in game 5, Game 2 of Rapid Tiebreakers(improvement over Kramnik-Radjabov 2016 Baku Olympiad 2016).
This way Carlsen would do two important things:
1.) Open a free hand on Caruana to show what he has against 1.e4- the Petroff or 2...Nc6 or even another opening.
2.) He can have some new ideas against the Petroff( he has showed some in the past and can niggle up more and more pressure) like in the match v/s Karjakin. However, if Black plays 2...Nf6, I believe Carlsen can play 3.Nc3!? getting rid of a lot of theory after 3.d4 and 3.Ne5 which Caruana would have focused on! Caruana if then replies 3...Nc6 can be met with 4.Bb5 or 4.d4- openings Carlsen would have prepared better than his opponent. If Caruana goes for 3...Bb4 Carlsen will go pawn grabbing with 4.Ne5 when 4...0-0 will be met by 5.Nd3 Bc3 6.dc3 Re8( or 6....Ne4) 7.0-0. Carlsen would have the double Bishop, better prep. in such a situation I believe.
There is a third possibility of Carlsen playing 1.d4 to see what Caruana has in store against 1.d4 yet this is something I do not think Carlsen is going to focus much on; especially as it is important to know what Caruana is going to play against 1.e4 for the later stages of the game.
https://chess24.com/en/watch/live-tournaments/carlsen-caruana-world-chess-championship-2018#live is an important link. The live commentary provided here was absolutely excellent!
https://www.chess.com/news/view/world-championship-round-1-caruana-struggles-but-holds-draw-against-carlsen showed game analysis by Alex Yermolinsky were great in quality!
My prediction is on 8:27 PM still three minutes before the game, so my prediction holds!
Thanks,
Aradhya Garg
Wish that you liked my first article regarding the match strategy for the first game! The first game proved to be quiet interesting. I actually did believe a couple of days ago that Carlsen will play the Sicilian but that play may transpose to the Rossolimo, the topic of discussion in yesterday's game. However yesterday I had a very strong feeling that Carlsen would use the Caro-Kann to neutralise White's first White and to achieve a comfortable draw. However, was quiet happy to see Magnus fighting it out with the Siccilian! Also important to note is that Caruana is not a player to be intimidated if he is playing against a line not expected while Karjakin and Mr. Anand did get startled with Carlsen's not too expected opening choices and it reflected in the rest of the games.
Carlsen impressed with today's great prep. but seems unhappy with his missed chances. Credit: Chess.com
I thought that it was a great game with Carlsen missing some chances . I look for more such encounters. Caruana however has to step it up as he would consider himself quiet lucky to escape with a draw.
For the game today, I have an interesting suggestion. It would be very interesting for Carlsen to go for 1. c4!? in order to play the Siccilian Reversed today! That would be some fun yet this idea occured only to me today morning itself when I was viewing the Kasparov-Karpov Seville 1987 Match wherein this was a major bone of contention. Caruana can however reply with 1...e6 as he is probably relying on the Vienna for this match I believe. That however can give us a very good clue for what is in store for us in the match! 1...Nf6 can be met by 2.Nc3 yet I do not really think that Carlsen will try this. He however may try this as a one-game opening sometime to check what is the priority in Caruana's repertoire against 1.d4. Caruana has basically played everything against this opening! There is also a possibility he may have revised the Benoni Defense for facing it!
I believe however that Carlsen can then significantly reduce Caruana's preparations for the match which was something that Karjakin repeatedly felt in the World Chess Championship 2016.
Opening results like today are something Fabi would very likely want to avoid while trying to show much of his own reputed preparation. Credits: Chess.com
Another important strategy I thought was for Carlsen to go for 1.e4 e5 2.Nf3- I know you would probably be unhappy for me suggesting Carlsen to go for something Caruana would have prioritised in the repertoire which I often said is something Carlsen normally prevents. However, he could follow the ' Carlsen-Karjakin strategy'- Carlsen played 1.e4 in game 3, game 5, game 7, game 10, game 12, Tiebreaker game 2 and Game 4. Carlsen challenged Karjakin in his main defense- the Berlin and tried to extract small idea( Re2-Re1 in game 2, b4-a4 in game 5, Game 2 of Rapid Tiebreakers(improvement over Kramnik-Radjabov 2016 Baku Olympiad 2016).
This way Carlsen would do two important things:
1.) Open a free hand on Caruana to show what he has against 1.e4- the Petroff or 2...Nc6 or even another opening.
2.) He can have some new ideas against the Petroff( he has showed some in the past and can niggle up more and more pressure) like in the match v/s Karjakin. However, if Black plays 2...Nf6, I believe Carlsen can play 3.Nc3!? getting rid of a lot of theory after 3.d4 and 3.Ne5 which Caruana would have focused on! Caruana if then replies 3...Nc6 can be met with 4.Bb5 or 4.d4- openings Carlsen would have prepared better than his opponent. If Caruana goes for 3...Bb4 Carlsen will go pawn grabbing with 4.Ne5 when 4...0-0 will be met by 5.Nd3 Bc3 6.dc3 Re8( or 6....Ne4) 7.0-0. Carlsen would have the double Bishop, better prep. in such a situation I believe.
There is a third possibility of Carlsen playing 1.d4 to see what Caruana has in store against 1.d4 yet this is something I do not think Carlsen is going to focus much on; especially as it is important to know what Caruana is going to play against 1.e4 for the later stages of the game.
https://chess24.com/en/watch/live-tournaments/carlsen-caruana-world-chess-championship-2018#live is an important link. The live commentary provided here was absolutely excellent!
https://www.chess.com/news/view/world-championship-round-1-caruana-struggles-but-holds-draw-against-carlsen showed game analysis by Alex Yermolinsky were great in quality!
My prediction is on 8:27 PM still three minutes before the game, so my prediction holds!
Thanks,
Aradhya Garg
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